(Add singles, subtract pairs, add the triple — to correct for double/triple counting.)
Edexcel tip. Mark schemes for filling Venns:
M1: intersection placed correctly.
M1: 'only' regions correct.
A1: outside region correct.
B1: total checks out.
Start with intersection.
A only = ∣A∣ − intersection.
Outside = total − (sum of regions).
Always check sum equals total.
See the full worked example for venn diagrams and tables →
Probability from a Venn diagram
▼
Count the favourable region; divide by total.
Once a Venn is filled, probability questions are direct.
Worked example (continuing). 25 students. ∣A∩B∣=7, A only =5, B only =8, outside =5.
P(A)=12/25 (size of A over total).
P(A∩B)=7/25.
P(A∪B)=20/25=4/5.
P(neither)=5/25=1/5.
P(exactly one)=(5+8)/25=13/25.
Conditional probability from Venn.P(A∣B) = "probability A given B".
Restrict attention to B only.
Of those, find how many are in A.
P(A∣B)=P(B)P(A∩B)=∣B∣∣A∩B∣
Worked example.P(A∣B)=7/15 (7 in both, 15 in B in total).
Edexcel tip. When you see "given", "if it is known", "out of those who" — that's a conditioning signal. The denominator becomes the conditioning set.
Count favourable region.
Denominator = total (or conditioning set).
P(A∣B)=∣A∩B∣/∣B∣.
Conditional changes the denominator.
See the full worked example for venn diagrams and tables →
Two-way tables
▼
Cross-categorise two variables. Row totals + column totals.
A two-way table sorts data by two categorical variables — one across rows, one across columns.
Example.
Walks
Bus
Car
Total
Male
12
8
6
26
Female
14
12
8
34
Total
26
20
14
60
Each cell = number with that combination. Totals row + column show one-variable counts.
Inner cells hold the counts; the shaded row and column are totals, meeting at the grand total.
Reading probabilities.
P(walks AND male)=12/60=1/5.
P(walks)=26/60=13/30.
P(walks∣male)=12/26=6/13 (restricted to male row, total 26).
Filling missing cells. Use row + column totals to back-fill.
Worked example. Below, missing cells marked ?.
A
B
Total
X
?
5
12
Y
7
?
18
Total
?
?
30
Row X total = 12, B-X = 5 → A-X = 7.
Row Y total = 18, A-Y = 7 → B-Y = 11.
Col A total = A-X + A-Y = 7 + 7 = 14.
Col B total = 5 + 11 = 16. Check: 14 + 16 = 30. ✓
Edexcel tip. Rows + columns + totals must all be consistent. A two-way table problem reduces to systematic addition/subtraction.
Two categories cross-tabulated.
Row + column totals give one-variable counts.
Conditional: restrict to row or column.
Back-fill via subtraction.
Quick recap
Set notation: ∩ (AND), ∪ (OR), ′ (NOT), ξ (universal).
Fill Venn from INTERSECTION outwards.
∣A∪B∣=∣A∣+∣B∣−∣A∩B∣.
Conditional: P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)/P(B) — denominator is the conditioning set.
Two-way tables: rows × columns + totals.
Always check totals sum correctly.
Memorise this
Verbatim phrases and definitions Edexcel mark schemes credit.
A∩B = AND (overlap).
A∪B = OR (everything in either).
A′ = NOT in A.
P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)/P(B).
Inclusion-exclusion: ∣A∪B∣=∣A∣+∣B∣−∣A∩B∣.
How it’s examined
Venns and two-way tables are 4-6 mark questions on both papers. Conditional probability from these is the most common Higher Tier extension. Examiner reports flag: (1) putting ∣A∣ in the 'only A' region, (2) wrong denominator for conditional, (3) confusing ∩ with ∪.
Worked ExamplesStep-by-step solutions to past-paper-style questions
Step-by-step solutions to past-paper-style questions on venn diagrams and tables, written exactly the way a tutor would explain them at the board.
1Fill a Venn diagram
Higher• venn
▼
Question
∣A∣=12, ∣B∣=15, ∣A∩B∣=7, total = 25. Fill the Venn diagram.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1
Start with the intersection: ∣A∩B∣=7.
Step 2
A only = ∣A∣−∣A∩B∣=12−7=5.
Step 3
B only = 15−7=8.
Step 4
Outside = total − (5 + 7 + 8) = 25−20=5.
Answer
A only: 5; intersection: 7; B only: 8; outside: 5. Total = 25.
Examiner tip
ALWAYS start with the intersection. Mark scheme awards M1 for correctly placed intersection.
2Probability from a Venn diagram
Higher• Adapted from 4MA1/1H May/Jun 2024 Q23• venn, probability
▼
Question
From the diagram above, find P(A∩B), P(A∪B), P(neither).
Step-by-step solution
Step 1
P(A∩B)=7/25.
Step 2
P(A∪B)=(5+7+8)/25=20/25=4/5.
Step 3
P(neither)=5/25=1/5.
Answer
P(A∩B)=7/25; P(A∪B)=4/5; P(neither)=1/5.
3Conditional probability from Venn
Higher• conditional, venn
▼
Question
From the diagram, find P(A∣B) — probability A given B.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1
Restrict to B: there are 15 in B in total.
Step 2
Of those, 7 are also in A. P(A∣B)=7/15.
Answer
P(A∣B)=7/15
Examiner tip
Conditional: condition is the new total. P(A∣B) = (in both) / (in B).
4Two-way table
Higher• Adapted from 4MA1/2H Jan 2024 Q15• two-way table
▼
Question
Two-way table of students by gender and travel mode. Find P(walks AND male).
Step-by-step solution
Step 1
Read the cell: e.g., 12 students walk AND are male.
Step 2
Total students = 60.
Step 3
P=12/60=1/5.
Answer
P(walks AND male)=1/5
5Probability of a set from Venn diagram counts [1 mark]
Getting started• Paper 1H/2H style — 1 mark• venn diagram, probability
▼
Question
In a group of 25 people, 7 own a bike only, 3 own a bike and a scooter, 10 own a scooter only and 5 own neither.
One of the people is chosen at random. Write down the probability that the person owns a scooter. [1]
Step-by-step solution
Step 1
Owning a scooter includes the people who own a scooter only and those who own both.
Step 2
B1 Divide by the whole group of 25.
2510+3=2513
Answer
2513
Examiner tip
Examiner tip: A set in a Venn diagram is the whole circle, overlap included, not just its "only" region.
Common mistake: Giving 2510, which is the probability of owning a scooter only.
6Two-way table — overall and given a row [2 marks]
Getting started• Paper 1H/2H style — 2 marks• two-way table, conditional probability
▼
Question
A gardener planted 120 seeds, 60 in compost X and 60 in compost Y. The table shows how many germinated.
Germinated
Did not germinate
Total
Compost X
46
14
60
Compost Y
33
27
60
Total
79
41
120
(a) One of the seeds is chosen at random. Find the probability that it did not germinate. [1]
(b) One of the seeds planted in compost Y is chosen at random. Find the probability that it germinated. [1]
Step-by-step solution
Step 1
B1 (a) Any of the 120 seeds can be chosen; the "did not germinate" column total is 41.
12041
Step 2
B1 (b) Only the compost Y row is possible now, so the denominator is 60.
6033=2011
Answer
(a) 12041 (b) 2011
Examiner tip
Examiner tip: Before dividing, underline the words that say which seeds could be picked. That group's total is the denominator.
Common mistake: Giving 12033 in (b), which is the probability that a seed was in compost Y and germinated.
7Probabilities in a Venn diagram, then given at least one [3 marks]
Building confidence• Paper 1H/2H style — 3 marks• venn diagram, set notation, conditional probability
▼
Question
A and B are two events. P(A)=0.7, P(B)=0.5 and P(A∩B)=0.35
(a) Find P(A′∩B′). [2]
(b) Given that at least one of A and B occurs, find the probability that both occur. [1]
Step-by-step solution
Step 1
M1 (a) The regions are A only 0.35, both 0.35, B only 0.15, so the probability of A or B or both is
P(A∪B)=0.7+0.5−0.35=0.85
Step 2
A1A′∩B′ is outside both circles.
P(A′∩B′)=1−0.85=0.15
Step 3
B1 (b) "At least one" is A∪B, so P(A∪B)=0.85 from (a) is the denominator; "both" is the overlap.
P(A∪B)P(A∩B)=0.850.35=177
Answer
(a) 0.15 (b) 177
Examiner tip
Examiner tip:A′∩B′ is "not A and not B", the region outside both circles, which is the same set as (A∪B)′. In (b), reuse P(A∪B) rather than working it out again.
Common mistake: Working out 1−0.35=0.65 in (a), which is P((A∩B)′). The dashes on both letters put the answer outside both circles, not just outside the overlap. In (b), leaving the answer as 0.35 ignores the "given that".
8Two-way table from a ratio, then given that [3 marks]
Building confidence• Paper 1H/2H style — 3 marks• two-way table, ratio, conditional probability
▼
Question
A café sold 150 drinks. Each drink was hot or cold, and small or large.
The ratio of hot drinks to cold drinks was 7:3.
40 of the hot drinks were large. 18 of the cold drinks were small.
One of the large drinks is chosen at random. Find the probability that it was a cold drink. [3]
Step-by-step solution
Step 1
M1 Share 150 in the ratio 7:3.
150÷10=15,hot=105,cold=45
Step 2
M1 Large cold drinks: 45−18=27, so large drinks altogether: 40+27=67.
Step 3
A1 Given a large drink, the denominator is 67.
6727
Answer
6727
Examiner tip
Examiner tip: Put the information in a two-way table (hot/cold by small/large) and fill in only what you need. Here the large column is enough.
Common mistake: Giving 15027, the probability of a large cold drink out of all drinks. The drink is chosen from the large drinks only.
9Overlap from a given-that probability, then given exactly one [4 marks]
Stretch• Paper 1H/2H style — 4 marks• venn diagram, set notation, conditional probability
▼
Question
A and B are two events. P(A)=0.5 and P(B)=0.35
Given that A occurs, the probability that B also occurs is 0.4.
(a) Find P(A′∩B). [2]
(b) Given that exactly one of the events A and B occurs, find the probability that it is A. [2]
Step-by-step solution
Step 1
M1 (a) "Given A, the probability of B is 0.4" means the overlap is 0.4 of P(A).
P(A∩B)=0.4×0.5=0.2
Step 2
A1A′∩B is the B only region.
P(A′∩B)=0.35−0.2=0.15
Step 3
M1 (b) A only is 0.5−0.2=0.3. "Exactly one" is A only together with B only, 0.3+0.15=0.45, which is the given group.
Step 4
A1 Of that group, A only is the part where the event is A.
0.450.3=32
Answer
(a) 0.15 (b) 32
Examiner tip
Examiner tip: Put all four probabilities on a sketch Venn diagram (A only 0.3, both 0.2, B only 0.15, neither 0.35) and check they add up to 1 before answering (b).
Common mistake: Taking 0.4 as P(A∩B) itself. The 0.4 is a fraction of the A circle only, so it must be multiplied by P(A)=0.5; using 0.4 directly makes B only 0.35−0.4<0, which is impossible.
10Two-way table from a percentage and a fraction [5 marks]
Stretch• Paper 1H/2H style — 5 marks• two-way table, percentages, conditional probability
▼
Question
500 adults in a town were asked whether they cycle to work. Each adult is under 30 or aged 30 and over.
36% of the adults cycle to work. 53 of the adults who cycle to work are aged 30 and over. 140 of the adults are under 30.
(a) One of the adults is chosen at random. Find the probability that this adult is under 30 and does not cycle to work. [3]
(b) One of the adults aged 30 and over is chosen at random. Find the probability that this adult cycles to work. [2]
Step-by-step solution
Step 1
M1 (a) Cyclists: 0.36×500=180. Aged 30 and over who cycle: 53×180=108, so under 30 who cycle: 72.
Step 2
M1 Under 30 who do not cycle: 140−72=68.
Step 3
A1 Divide by all 500 adults.
50068=12517
Step 4
M1 (b) Aged 30 and over: 500−140=360, of whom 108 cycle.
Step 5
A1 The denominator is the 360 adults aged 30 and over.
360108=103
Answer
(a) 12517 (b) 103
Examiner tip
Examiner tip: The fraction 53 is "of the adults who cycle", so it multiplies 180, not 500. Always ask: a fraction of which group?
Common mistake: Working out 53×500=300 as the over-30 cyclists, which is more than the 180 cyclists there are. A cell larger than its row or column total shows the wrong base was used.
Model AnswersFull mark-scheme-style answers
Question 1
Paper 1H/2H style — 1 mark1 mark
A Venn diagram for sets C and D shows 12 in C only, 5 in C∩D, 8 in D only and 15 outside both sets.
One of the members of E is chosen at random. Find P(C∩D). [1]
Model answer
n(E)=12+5+8+15=40
P(C∩D)=405=81
Why this scores
Mark scheme:
B1 for 405 oe
Why this scores full marks: The total includes the 15 outside both sets, and C∩D is only the overlap.
Question 2
Paper 1H/2H style — 2 marks2 marks
The table shows information about 200 phone repairs.
Screen
Battery
Other
Total
Under warranty
48
22
15
85
Not under warranty
61
34
20
115
Total
109
56
35
200
One of the repairs is chosen at random. Find the probability that it was not a screen repair. [2]
Model answer
Not a screen repair =200−109=91
20091
Why this scores
Mark scheme:
M1 for 200−109 or 56+35
A1 for 20091 oe
Why this scores full marks: "Not a screen repair" is every column except Screen; using the complement of the Screen total is the quickest route.
Question 3
Paper 1H/2H style — 2 marks2 marks
A and B are two events. In a Venn diagram of probabilities, P(A∩B′)=0.28, P(A∩B)=0.12 and P(A′∩B)=0.35
Find P(A′∪B). [2]
Model answer
A′∪B is every region except A only.
P(A′∪B)=1−0.28=0.72
Why this scores
Mark scheme:
M1 for identifying all regions except A∩B′, e.g. 1−0.28, or 0.12+0.35+0.25
A1 for 0.72 oe
Why this scores full marks: The candidate reads A′∪B as "not A, or B" and sees that only the A only region fails both conditions, so the unknown outside region never needs to be found.
Question 4
Paper 1H/2H style — 3 marks3 marks
There are 60 people in a fitness class. 26 of them are men. Each person is under 40 or aged 40 and over.
20 of the women are under 40. 22 of the people are aged 40 and over.
One of the people is chosen at random. Find the probability that the person is a man under 40. [3]
Model answer
Women =60−26=34, women aged 40 and over =34−20=14
Men aged 40 and over =22−14=8, men under 40=26−8=18
6018=103
Why this scores
Mark scheme:
M1 for 60−26=34 and 34−20=14
M1 for 22−14=8 and 26−8=18 oe
A1 for 6018 oe
Why this scores full marks: Each subtraction stays inside one row or one column of the two-way table, and the answer is checked: under 40 totals 18+20=38=60−22.
Question 5
Paper 1H/2H style — 3 marks3 marks
40 people were asked whether they get news from TV (T), radio (R) or online (O). The Venn diagram shows:
T only 10, R only 8, O only 6
T and R only 4, T and O only 3, R and O only 2
all three 1, none 6
(a) A person is chosen at random. Find P(O). [1]
(b) Given that a person uses at least two of the sources, find the probability that the person uses all three. [2]
Model answer
(a) n(O)=6+3+2+1=12
P(O)=4012=103
(b) At least two =4+3+2+1=10
101
Why this scores
Mark scheme:
B1 (a) for 4012 oe
M1 (b) for 4+3+2+1 or k1 with k>1
A1 (b) for 101 oe
Why this scores full marks: "At least two" includes the centre as well as the three two-only regions, so the denominator is 10, not 9.
Question 6
Paper 1H/2H style — 3 marks3 marks
A and B are two events. P(A)=0.45, P(B)=0.3 and P(A∩B)=0.12
Find the probability that B occurs given that A does not occur. [3]
Model answer
P(A′∩B)=0.3−0.12=0.18
P(A′)=1−0.45=0.55
0.550.18=5518
Why this scores
Mark scheme:
M1 for 0.3−0.12 or 0.18 in the B only region
M1 for 1−0.45 or 0.55 used as the denominator
A1 for 5518 oe (e.g. awrt 0.327)
Why this scores full marks: "Given that A does not occur" makes P(A′)=0.55 the denominator, and only the part of B outside A goes on top. A decimal answer of awrt 0.327 is accepted, but the exact fraction 5518 is safest.
Question 7
Paper 1H/2H style — 4 marks4 marks
There are 60 people in a Venn diagram for sets A and B. 9 are in both sets and 12 are in neither.
The number in A only is twice the number in B only.
One of the people not in A is chosen at random. Find the probability that this person is in B. [4]
Model answer
Let B only =y, so A only =2y.
2y+9+y+12=60⇒3y=39⇒y=13
Not in A: B only + neither =13+12=25
2513
Why this scores
Mark scheme:
M1 for 2y+9+y+12=60 oe
A1 for y=13
M1 for 13+12k or m13 with m>13
A1 for 2513 oe
Why this scores full marks: One letter for the smaller region keeps the equation simple, and the denominator is A′, which is B only together with the 12 in neither.
Question 8
Paper 1H/2H style — 4 marks4 marks
250 people visited a zoo. 42% of the visitors were children. 60% of the children visited the aquarium. 95 of the adults visited the aquarium.
Given that a visitor went to the aquarium, find the probability that the visitor was a child. [4]
Model answer
Children =0.42×250=105
Children at the aquarium =0.6×105=63
Aquarium visitors =63+95=158
15863
Why this scores
Mark scheme:
M1 for 0.42×250 or 105
M1 for 0.6×105 or 63
M1 for 63+95 or 158
A1 for 15863 oe
Why this scores full marks: The 60% is applied to the children, not to all 250 visitors, and the denominator is the whole aquarium group, children and adults together.
Question 9
Paper 1H/2H style — 5 marks5 marks
The Venn diagram for events A and B has these probabilities:
P(A∩B′)=3x, P(A∩B)=x, P(A′∩B)=0.28, P((A∪B)′)=2x
(a) Find the value of x. [2]
(b) Find the probability that B occurs given that A occurs. [2]
(c) Write down P(A′∩B′). [1]
Model answer
(a) 3x+x+0.28+2x=1⇒6x=0.72⇒x=0.12
(b) P(A)=3(0.12)+0.12=0.48
0.480.12=41
(c) 2x=0.24
Why this scores
Mark scheme:
M1 (a) for 3x+x+0.28+2x=1 oe
A1 (a) for 0.12
M1 (b) for 4xx or 0.480.12 ft their x
A1 (b) for 41 oe
B1 (c) for 0.24 ft 2× their x
Why this scores full marks: The four probabilities sum to 1, giving the equation. In (b) the denominator is P(A)=0.48, the whole of circle A, not 1.
Question 10
Paper 1H/2H style — 5 marks5 marks
A cinema sold 360 tickets for three films: Action, Comedy and Drama. Each ticket was an adult ticket or a child ticket.
125 of the tickets were for Action, and 31 of the Action tickets were child tickets.
90 tickets were for Comedy, and 54 of these were child tickets.
146 of the tickets were child tickets.
(a) One of the child tickets is chosen at random. Find the probability that it was for Drama. [3]
(b) Given that a ticket was for Drama, find the probability that it was an adult ticket. [2]
Why this scores full marks: The candidate keeps the two denominators apart: the child tickets (146) in (a) and the Drama tickets (120) in (b). Setting out a two-way table (films across, adult/child down) makes both totals visible.