4MA1 Venn Diagrams and Two-Way Tables

Study Notes · Statistics and Probability · Higher tier

Venn diagrams for sets/probability; two-way tables for cross-categorising. Conditional probability from both is heavily examined.

At a glance

  • ∩\cap = intersection (AND).
  • ∪\cup = union (OR).
  • A′A' = complement (NOT in AA).
  • ξ\xi = universal set (everything).
  • Fill Venn from intersection OUTWARDS.
  • ∣A∪B∣=∣A∣+∣B∣−∣A∩B∣|A \cup B| = |A| + |B| - |A \cap B|.
  • Conditional: P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)/P(B)P(A|B) = P(A \cap B) / P(B).
  • Two-way table: rows × columns, with totals.

What you’ll learn

Mapped to the Pearson Edexcel IGCSE 4MA1 syllabus (2026 onwards).

  • 6.6 — Use set notation: ∩,∪,′,ξ\cap, \cup, ', \xi.
  • 6.6 — Construct and interpret Venn diagrams (2 and 3 sets).
  • 6.6 — Calculate probabilities using Venn diagrams.
  • 6.6 — Construct and interpret two-way tables.
  • 6.6 — Calculate conditional probability from a Venn diagram or two-way table.

Set notation

▼

Master the four symbols: ∩,∪,′,ξ\cap, \cup, ', \xi.

Set — a collection of distinct objects.

Universal set ξ\xi — everything under consideration. Drawn as a rectangle.

A∩BA \cap B (A intersection B) — elements in BOTH AA AND BB. The overlap.

A∪BA \cup B (A union B) — elements in AA OR BB (or both).

A′A' (complement of AA) — elements in ξ\xi but NOT in AA.

Memory aid for ∩\cap vs ∪\cup:

  • ∩\cap — pointed top (like the 'A' in AND). Intersection.
  • ∪\cup — opens upward like a cup. Union.
Intersection, union and complement A B A ∩ B A B A ∪ B A A′
Shaded regions: intersection (the overlap), union (either circle), complement (everything outside A).

Examples. ξ={1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8}\xi = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8\}, A={2,4,6}A = \{2, 4, 6\}, B={4,5,6,7}B = \{4, 5, 6, 7\}.

  • A∩B={4,6}A \cap B = \{4, 6\}.
  • A∪B={2,4,5,6,7}A \cup B = \{2, 4, 5, 6, 7\}.
  • A′={1,3,5,7,8}A' = \{1, 3, 5, 7, 8\} (not in AA).
  • (A∪B)′={1,3,8}(A \cup B)' = \{1, 3, 8\} (not in either).

Edexcel tip. Set questions sometimes use words: "elements in AA but not in BB" = A∩B′A \cap B' = AA minus the overlap.

  • ∩\cap = AND (intersection).
  • ∪\cup = OR (union).
  • A′A' = NOT AA (complement).
  • ξ\xi = universal (everything).

Venn diagrams (2 and 3 sets)

▼

Fill from the INTERSECTION outwards.

Two-set Venn. Two overlapping circles inside a rectangle (ξ\xi). Four regions:

  • AA only (left).
  • A∩BA \cap B (overlap).
  • BB only (right).
  • Outside both (corner of rectangle).

Filling rule. Always start with the intersection.

Worked example. ∣A∣=12|A| = 12, ∣B∣=15|B| = 15, ∣A∩B∣=7|A \cap B| = 7, total = 25.

  1. ∣A∩B∣=7|A \cap B| = 7 in the overlap.
  2. AA only =12−7=5= 12 - 7 = 5.
  3. BB only =15−7=8= 15 - 7 = 8.
  4. Outside =25−(5+7+8)=5= 25 - (5 + 7 + 8) = 5.

Sanity check: 5+7+8+5=255 + 7 + 8 + 5 = 25. ✓

A filled two-set Venn diagram ξ = 25 A B 5 7 8 5 overlap first
Fill the overlap first, then subtract to get the 'only' regions; the rest sits outside.

Three-set Venn. Three overlapping circles, EIGHT regions. Same rule: start with the central intersection A∩B∩CA \cap B \cap C, work outwards.

Inclusion-exclusion (3 sets). ∣A∪B∪C∣=∣A∣+∣B∣+∣C∣−∣A∩B∣−∣A∩C∣−∣B∩C∣+∣A∩B∩C∣|A \cup B \cup C| = |A| + |B| + |C| - |A \cap B| - |A \cap C| - |B \cap C| + |A \cap B \cap C|

(Add singles, subtract pairs, add the triple — to correct for double/triple counting.)

Edexcel tip. Mark schemes for filling Venns:

  • M1: intersection placed correctly.
  • M1: 'only' regions correct.
  • A1: outside region correct.
  • B1: total checks out.
  • Start with intersection.
  • AA only = ∣A∣|A| − intersection.
  • Outside = total − (sum of regions).
  • Always check sum equals total.

See the full worked example for venn diagrams and tables →

Probability from a Venn diagram

▼

Count the favourable region; divide by total.

Once a Venn is filled, probability questions are direct.

Worked example (continuing). 25 students. ∣A∩B∣=7|A \cap B| = 7, AA only =5= 5, BB only =8= 8, outside =5= 5.

  • P(A)=12/25P(A) = 12/25 (size of AA over total).
  • P(A∩B)=7/25P(A \cap B) = 7/25.
  • P(A∪B)=20/25=4/5P(A \cup B) = 20/25 = 4/5.
  • P(neither)=5/25=1/5P(\text{neither}) = 5/25 = 1/5.
  • P(exactly one)=(5+8)/25=13/25P(\text{exactly one}) = (5 + 8)/25 = 13/25.

Conditional probability from Venn. P(A∣B)P(A | B) = "probability AA given BB".

  • Restrict attention to BB only.
  • Of those, find how many are in AA.

P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)=∣A∩B∣∣B∣P(A | B) = \dfrac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} = \dfrac{|A \cap B|}{|B|}

Worked example. P(A∣B)=7/15P(A | B) = 7/15 (7 in both, 15 in BB in total).

Edexcel tip. When you see "given", "if it is known", "out of those who" — that's a conditioning signal. The denominator becomes the conditioning set.

  • Count favourable region.
  • Denominator = total (or conditioning set).
  • P(A∣B)=∣A∩B∣/∣B∣P(A|B) = |A \cap B| / |B|.
  • Conditional changes the denominator.

See the full worked example for venn diagrams and tables →

Two-way tables

▼

Cross-categorise two variables. Row totals + column totals.

A two-way table sorts data by two categorical variables — one across rows, one across columns.

Example.

WalksBusCarTotal
Male128626
Female1412834
Total26201460

Each cell = number with that combination. Totals row + column show one-variable counts.

Structure of a two-way table WalksBusCarTotal MaleFemaleTotal 1286 14128 2634 262014 60 grand total
Inner cells hold the counts; the shaded row and column are totals, meeting at the grand total.

Reading probabilities.

  • P(walks AND male)=12/60=1/5P(\text{walks AND male}) = 12/60 = 1/5.
  • P(walks)=26/60=13/30P(\text{walks}) = 26/60 = 13/30.
  • P(walks∣male)=12/26=6/13P(\text{walks} | \text{male}) = 12/26 = 6/13 (restricted to male row, total 26).

Filling missing cells. Use row + column totals to back-fill.

Worked example. Below, missing cells marked ??.

ABTotal
X?512
Y7?18
Total??30
  • Row X total = 12, B-X = 5 → A-X = 7.
  • Row Y total = 18, A-Y = 7 → B-Y = 11.
  • Col A total = A-X + A-Y = 7 + 7 = 14.
  • Col B total = 5 + 11 = 16. Check: 14 + 16 = 30. ✓

Edexcel tip. Rows + columns + totals must all be consistent. A two-way table problem reduces to systematic addition/subtraction.

  • Two categories cross-tabulated.
  • Row + column totals give one-variable counts.
  • Conditional: restrict to row or column.
  • Back-fill via subtraction.

Quick recap

  • Set notation: ∩\cap (AND), ∪\cup (OR), ′' (NOT), ξ\xi (universal).
  • Fill Venn from INTERSECTION outwards.
  • ∣A∪B∣=∣A∣+∣B∣−∣A∩B∣|A \cup B| = |A| + |B| - |A \cap B|.
  • Conditional: P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)/P(B)P(A|B) = P(A \cap B) / P(B) — denominator is the conditioning set.
  • Two-way tables: rows × columns + totals.
  • Always check totals sum correctly.

Memorise this

Verbatim phrases and definitions Edexcel mark schemes credit.

  • A∩BA \cap B = AND (overlap).
  • A∪BA \cup B = OR (everything in either).
  • A′A' = NOT in AA.
  • P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)/P(B)P(A|B) = P(A \cap B) / P(B).
  • Inclusion-exclusion: ∣A∪B∣=∣A∣+∣B∣−∣A∩B∣|A \cup B| = |A| + |B| - |A \cap B|.

How it’s examined

Venns and two-way tables are 4-6 mark questions on both papers. Conditional probability from these is the most common Higher Tier extension. Examiner reports flag: (1) putting ∣A∣|A| in the 'only AA' region, (2) wrong denominator for conditional, (3) confusing ∩\cap with ∪\cup.

Sources: Pearson Edexcel International GCSE Mathematics A 4MA1 specification (2026 onwards); 4MA1 Examiner Reports — Jan and May/Jun 2022-2024 series; Past Papers — 4MA1/1H May/Jun 2024, 4MA1/2H Jan 2024. Last reviewed 2026-05-07.

Worked ExamplesStep-by-step solutions to past-paper-style questions

Step-by-step solutions to past-paper-style questions on venn diagrams and tables, written exactly the way a tutor would explain them at the board.

  1. 1Fill a Venn diagram

    Higher• venn
    ▼

    Question

    ∣A∣=12|A| = 12, ∣B∣=15|B| = 15, ∣A∩B∣=7|A \cap B| = 7, total = 25. Fill the Venn diagram.

    Step-by-step solution

    1. Step 1

      Start with the intersection: ∣A∩B∣=7|A \cap B| = 7.

    2. Step 2

      AA only = ∣A∣−∣A∩B∣=12−7=5|A| - |A \cap B| = 12 - 7 = 5.

    3. Step 3

      BB only = 15−7=815 - 7 = 8.

    4. Step 4

      Outside = total − (5 + 7 + 8) = 25−20=525 - 20 = 5.

    Answer

    AA only: 5; intersection: 7; BB only: 8; outside: 5. Total = 25.

    Examiner tip

    ALWAYS start with the intersection. Mark scheme awards M1 for correctly placed intersection.

  2. 2Probability from a Venn diagram

    Higher• Adapted from 4MA1/1H May/Jun 2024 Q23• venn, probability
    ▼

    Question

    From the diagram above, find P(A∩B)P(A \cap B), P(A∪B)P(A \cup B), P(neither)P(\text{neither}).

    Step-by-step solution

    1. Step 1

      P(A∩B)=7/25P(A \cap B) = 7/25.

    2. Step 2

      P(A∪B)=(5+7+8)/25=20/25=4/5P(A \cup B) = (5 + 7 + 8)/25 = 20/25 = 4/5.

    3. Step 3

      P(neither)=5/25=1/5P(\text{neither}) = 5/25 = 1/5.

    Answer

    P(A∩B)=7/25P(A \cap B) = 7/25; P(A∪B)=4/5P(A \cup B) = 4/5; P(neither)=1/5P(\text{neither}) = 1/5.

  3. 3Conditional probability from Venn

    Higher• conditional, venn
    ▼

    Question

    From the diagram, find P(A∣B)P(A | B) — probability AA given BB.

    Step-by-step solution

    1. Step 1

      Restrict to BB: there are 15 in BB in total.

    2. Step 2

      Of those, 7 are also in AA. P(A∣B)=7/15P(A | B) = 7/15.

    Answer

    P(A∣B)=7/15P(A | B) = 7/15

    Examiner tip

    Conditional: condition is the new total. P(A∣B)P(A|B) = (in both) / (in BB).

  4. 4Two-way table

    Higher• Adapted from 4MA1/2H Jan 2024 Q15• two-way table
    ▼

    Question

    Two-way table of students by gender and travel mode. Find P(walks AND male)P(\text{walks AND male}).

    Step-by-step solution

    1. Step 1

      Read the cell: e.g., 12 students walk AND are male.

    2. Step 2

      Total students = 60.

    3. Step 3

      P=12/60=1/5P = 12/60 = 1/5.

    Answer

    P(walks AND male)=1/5P(\text{walks AND male}) = 1/5

  5. 5Probability of a set from Venn diagram counts [1 mark]

    Getting started• Paper 1H/2H style — 1 mark• venn diagram, probability
    ▼

    Question

    In a group of 2525 people, 77 own a bike only, 33 own a bike and a scooter, 1010 own a scooter only and 55 own neither.

    One of the people is chosen at random. Write down the probability that the person owns a scooter. [1]

    Step-by-step solution

    1. Step 1

      Owning a scooter includes the people who own a scooter only and those who own both.

    2. Step 2

      B1 Divide by the whole group of 2525.

      10+325=1325\dfrac{10 + 3}{25} = \dfrac{13}{25}

    Answer

    1325\dfrac{13}{25}

    Examiner tip

    Examiner tip: A set in a Venn diagram is the whole circle, overlap included, not just its "only" region.

    Common mistake: Giving 1025\frac{10}{25}, which is the probability of owning a scooter only.

  6. 6Two-way table — overall and given a row [2 marks]

    Getting started• Paper 1H/2H style — 2 marks• two-way table, conditional probability
    ▼

    Question

    A gardener planted 120120 seeds, 6060 in compost X and 6060 in compost Y. The table shows how many germinated.

    GerminatedDid not germinateTotal
    Compost X464614146060
    Compost Y333327276060
    Total79794141120120

    (a) One of the seeds is chosen at random. Find the probability that it did not germinate. [1]

    (b) One of the seeds planted in compost Y is chosen at random. Find the probability that it germinated. [1]

    Step-by-step solution

    1. Step 1

      B1 (a) Any of the 120120 seeds can be chosen; the "did not germinate" column total is 4141.

      41120\dfrac{41}{120}

    2. Step 2

      B1 (b) Only the compost Y row is possible now, so the denominator is 6060.

      3360=1120\dfrac{33}{60} = \dfrac{11}{20}

    Answer

    (a) 41120\dfrac{41}{120} (b) 1120\dfrac{11}{20}

    Examiner tip

    Examiner tip: Before dividing, underline the words that say which seeds could be picked. That group's total is the denominator.

    Common mistake: Giving 33120\frac{33}{120} in (b), which is the probability that a seed was in compost Y and germinated.

  7. 7Probabilities in a Venn diagram, then given at least one [3 marks]

    Building confidence• Paper 1H/2H style — 3 marks• venn diagram, set notation, conditional probability
    ▼

    Question

    AA and BB are two events. P(A)=0.7P(A) = 0.7, P(B)=0.5P(B) = 0.5 and P(A∩B)=0.35P(A \cap B) = 0.35

    (a) Find P(A′∩B′)P(A' \cap B'). [2]

    (b) Given that at least one of AA and BB occurs, find the probability that both occur. [1]

    Step-by-step solution

    1. Step 1

      M1 (a) The regions are AA only 0.350.35, both 0.350.35, BB only 0.150.15, so the probability of AA or BB or both is

      P(A∪B)=0.7+0.5−0.35=0.85P(A \cup B) = 0.7 + 0.5 - 0.35 = 0.85

    2. Step 2

      A1 A′∩B′A' \cap B' is outside both circles.

      P(A′∩B′)=1−0.85=0.15P(A' \cap B') = 1 - 0.85 = 0.15

    3. Step 3

      B1 (b) "At least one" is A∪BA \cup B, so P(A∪B)=0.85P(A \cup B) = 0.85 from (a) is the denominator; "both" is the overlap.

      P(A∩B)P(A∪B)=0.350.85=717\dfrac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A \cup B)} = \dfrac{0.35}{0.85} = \dfrac{7}{17}

    Answer

    (a) 0.150.15 (b) 717\dfrac{7}{17}

    Examiner tip

    Examiner tip: A′∩B′A' \cap B' is "not AA and not BB", the region outside both circles, which is the same set as (A∪B)′(A \cup B)'. In (b), reuse P(A∪B)P(A \cup B) rather than working it out again.

    Common mistake: Working out 1−0.35=0.651 - 0.35 = 0.65 in (a), which is P((A∩B)′)P((A \cap B)'). The dashes on both letters put the answer outside both circles, not just outside the overlap. In (b), leaving the answer as 0.350.35 ignores the "given that".

  8. 8Two-way table from a ratio, then given that [3 marks]

    Building confidence• Paper 1H/2H style — 3 marks• two-way table, ratio, conditional probability
    ▼

    Question

    A café sold 150150 drinks. Each drink was hot or cold, and small or large.

    The ratio of hot drinks to cold drinks was 7:37 : 3.

    4040 of the hot drinks were large. 1818 of the cold drinks were small.

    One of the large drinks is chosen at random. Find the probability that it was a cold drink. [3]

    Step-by-step solution

    1. Step 1

      M1 Share 150150 in the ratio 7:37 : 3.

      150÷10=15,hot=105,cold=45150 \div 10 = 15, \qquad \text{hot} = 105, \quad \text{cold} = 45

    2. Step 2

      M1 Large cold drinks: 45−18=2745 - 18 = 27, so large drinks altogether: 40+27=6740 + 27 = 67.

    3. Step 3

      A1 Given a large drink, the denominator is 6767.

      2767\dfrac{27}{67}

    Answer

    2767\dfrac{27}{67}

    Examiner tip

    Examiner tip: Put the information in a two-way table (hot/cold by small/large) and fill in only what you need. Here the large column is enough.

    Common mistake: Giving 27150\frac{27}{150}, the probability of a large cold drink out of all drinks. The drink is chosen from the large drinks only.

  9. 9Overlap from a given-that probability, then given exactly one [4 marks]

    Stretch• Paper 1H/2H style — 4 marks• venn diagram, set notation, conditional probability
    ▼

    Question

    AA and BB are two events. P(A)=0.5P(A) = 0.5 and P(B)=0.35P(B) = 0.35

    Given that AA occurs, the probability that BB also occurs is 0.40.4.

    (a) Find P(A′∩B)P(A' \cap B). [2]

    (b) Given that exactly one of the events AA and BB occurs, find the probability that it is AA. [2]

    Step-by-step solution

    1. Step 1

      M1 (a) "Given AA, the probability of BB is 0.40.4" means the overlap is 0.40.4 of P(A)P(A).

      P(A∩B)=0.4×0.5=0.2P(A \cap B) = 0.4 \times 0.5 = 0.2

    2. Step 2

      A1 A′∩BA' \cap B is the BB only region.

      P(A′∩B)=0.35−0.2=0.15P(A' \cap B) = 0.35 - 0.2 = 0.15

    3. Step 3

      M1 (b) AA only is 0.5−0.2=0.30.5 - 0.2 = 0.3. "Exactly one" is AA only together with BB only, 0.3+0.15=0.450.3 + 0.15 = 0.45, which is the given group.

    4. Step 4

      A1 Of that group, AA only is the part where the event is AA.

      0.30.45=23\dfrac{0.3}{0.45} = \dfrac{2}{3}

    Answer

    (a) 0.150.15 (b) 23\dfrac{2}{3}

    Examiner tip

    Examiner tip: Put all four probabilities on a sketch Venn diagram (AA only 0.30.3, both 0.20.2, BB only 0.150.15, neither 0.350.35) and check they add up to 11 before answering (b).

    Common mistake: Taking 0.40.4 as P(A∩B)P(A \cap B) itself. The 0.40.4 is a fraction of the AA circle only, so it must be multiplied by P(A)=0.5P(A) = 0.5; using 0.40.4 directly makes BB only 0.35−0.4<00.35 - 0.4 < 0, which is impossible.

  10. 10Two-way table from a percentage and a fraction [5 marks]

    Stretch• Paper 1H/2H style — 5 marks• two-way table, percentages, conditional probability
    ▼

    Question

    500500 adults in a town were asked whether they cycle to work. Each adult is under 3030 or aged 3030 and over.

    36%36\% of the adults cycle to work. 35\frac{3}{5} of the adults who cycle to work are aged 3030 and over. 140140 of the adults are under 3030.

    (a) One of the adults is chosen at random. Find the probability that this adult is under 3030 and does not cycle to work. [3]

    (b) One of the adults aged 3030 and over is chosen at random. Find the probability that this adult cycles to work. [2]

    Step-by-step solution

    1. Step 1

      M1 (a) Cyclists: 0.36×500=1800.36 \times 500 = 180. Aged 3030 and over who cycle: 35×180=108\frac{3}{5} \times 180 = 108, so under 3030 who cycle: 7272.

    2. Step 2

      M1 Under 3030 who do not cycle: 140−72=68140 - 72 = 68.

    3. Step 3

      A1 Divide by all 500500 adults.

      68500=17125\dfrac{68}{500} = \dfrac{17}{125}

    4. Step 4

      M1 (b) Aged 3030 and over: 500−140=360500 - 140 = 360, of whom 108108 cycle.

    5. Step 5

      A1 The denominator is the 360360 adults aged 3030 and over.

      108360=310\dfrac{108}{360} = \dfrac{3}{10}

    Answer

    (a) 17125\dfrac{17}{125} (b) 310\dfrac{3}{10}

    Examiner tip

    Examiner tip: The fraction 35\frac{3}{5} is "of the adults who cycle", so it multiplies 180180, not 500500. Always ask: a fraction of which group?

    Common mistake: Working out 35×500=300\frac{3}{5} \times 500 = 300 as the over-30 cyclists, which is more than the 180180 cyclists there are. A cell larger than its row or column total shows the wrong base was used.

Model AnswersFull mark-scheme-style answers

  • Question 1

    Paper 1H/2H style — 1 mark1 mark

    A Venn diagram for sets CC and DD shows 1212 in CC only, 55 in C∩DC \cap D, 88 in DD only and 1515 outside both sets.

    One of the members of E\mathscr{E} is chosen at random. Find P(C∩D)P(C \cap D). [1]

    Model answer

    n(E)=12+5+8+15=40n(\mathscr{E}) = 12 + 5 + 8 + 15 = 40

    P(C∩D)=540=18P(C \cap D) = \frac{5}{40} = \frac{1}{8}

    Why this scores

    Mark scheme:

    • B1 for 540\frac{5}{40} oe

    Why this scores full marks: The total includes the 1515 outside both sets, and C∩DC \cap D is only the overlap.

  • Question 2

    Paper 1H/2H style — 2 marks2 marks

    The table shows information about 200200 phone repairs.

    ScreenBatteryOtherTotal
    Under warranty4848222215158585
    Not under warranty616134342020115115
    Total10910956563535200200

    One of the repairs is chosen at random. Find the probability that it was not a screen repair. [2]

    Model answer

    Not a screen repair =200−109=91= 200 - 109 = 91

    91200\frac{91}{200}

    Why this scores

    Mark scheme:

    • M1 for 200−109200 - 109 or 56+3556 + 35
    • A1 for 91200\frac{91}{200} oe

    Why this scores full marks: "Not a screen repair" is every column except Screen; using the complement of the Screen total is the quickest route.

  • Question 3

    Paper 1H/2H style — 2 marks2 marks

    AA and BB are two events. In a Venn diagram of probabilities, P(A∩B′)=0.28P(A \cap B') = 0.28, P(A∩B)=0.12P(A \cap B) = 0.12 and P(A′∩B)=0.35P(A' \cap B) = 0.35

    Find P(A′∪B)P(A' \cup B). [2]

    Model answer

    A′∪BA' \cup B is every region except AA only.

    P(A′∪B)=1−0.28=0.72P(A' \cup B) = 1 - 0.28 = 0.72

    Why this scores

    Mark scheme:

    • M1 for identifying all regions except A∩B′A \cap B', e.g. 1−0.281 - 0.28, or 0.12+0.35+0.250.12 + 0.35 + 0.25
    • A1 for 0.720.72 oe

    Why this scores full marks: The candidate reads A′∪BA' \cup B as "not AA, or BB" and sees that only the AA only region fails both conditions, so the unknown outside region never needs to be found.

  • Question 4

    Paper 1H/2H style — 3 marks3 marks

    There are 6060 people in a fitness class. 2626 of them are men. Each person is under 4040 or aged 4040 and over.

    2020 of the women are under 4040. 2222 of the people are aged 4040 and over.

    One of the people is chosen at random. Find the probability that the person is a man under 4040. [3]

    Model answer

    Women =60−26=34= 60 - 26 = 34, women aged 4040 and over =34−20=14= 34 - 20 = 14

    Men aged 4040 and over =22−14=8= 22 - 14 = 8, men under 40=26−8=1840 = 26 - 8 = 18

    1860=310\frac{18}{60} = \frac{3}{10}

    Why this scores

    Mark scheme:

    • M1 for 60−26=3460 - 26 = 34 and 34−20=1434 - 20 = 14
    • M1 for 22−14=822 - 14 = 8 and 26−8=1826 - 8 = 18 oe
    • A1 for 1860\frac{18}{60} oe

    Why this scores full marks: Each subtraction stays inside one row or one column of the two-way table, and the answer is checked: under 4040 totals 18+20=38=60−2218 + 20 = 38 = 60 - 22.

  • Question 5

    Paper 1H/2H style — 3 marks3 marks

    4040 people were asked whether they get news from TV (TT), radio (RR) or online (OO). The Venn diagram shows:

    • TT only 1010, RR only 88, OO only 66
    • TT and RR only 44, TT and OO only 33, RR and OO only 22
    • all three 11, none 66

    (a) A person is chosen at random. Find P(O)P(O). [1]

    (b) Given that a person uses at least two of the sources, find the probability that the person uses all three. [2]

    Model answer

    (a) n(O)=6+3+2+1=12n(O) = 6 + 3 + 2 + 1 = 12

    P(O)=1240=310P(O) = \frac{12}{40} = \frac{3}{10}

    (b) At least two =4+3+2+1=10= 4 + 3 + 2 + 1 = 10

    110\frac{1}{10}

    Why this scores

    Mark scheme:

    • B1 (a) for 1240\frac{12}{40} oe
    • M1 (b) for 4+3+2+14 + 3 + 2 + 1 or 1k\frac{1}{k} with k>1k > 1
    • A1 (b) for 110\frac{1}{10} oe

    Why this scores full marks: "At least two" includes the centre as well as the three two-only regions, so the denominator is 1010, not 99.

  • Question 6

    Paper 1H/2H style — 3 marks3 marks

    AA and BB are two events. P(A)=0.45P(A) = 0.45, P(B)=0.3P(B) = 0.3 and P(A∩B)=0.12P(A \cap B) = 0.12

    Find the probability that BB occurs given that AA does not occur. [3]

    Model answer

    P(A′∩B)=0.3−0.12=0.18P(A' \cap B) = 0.3 - 0.12 = 0.18

    P(A′)=1−0.45=0.55P(A') = 1 - 0.45 = 0.55

    0.180.55=1855\frac{0.18}{0.55} = \frac{18}{55}

    Why this scores

    Mark scheme:

    • M1 for 0.3−0.120.3 - 0.12 or 0.180.18 in the BB only region
    • M1 for 1−0.451 - 0.45 or 0.550.55 used as the denominator
    • A1 for 1855\frac{18}{55} oe (e.g. awrt 0.3270.327)

    Why this scores full marks: "Given that AA does not occur" makes P(A′)=0.55P(A') = 0.55 the denominator, and only the part of BB outside AA goes on top. A decimal answer of awrt 0.3270.327 is accepted, but the exact fraction 1855\frac{18}{55} is safest.

  • Question 7

    Paper 1H/2H style — 4 marks4 marks

    There are 6060 people in a Venn diagram for sets AA and BB. 99 are in both sets and 1212 are in neither.

    The number in AA only is twice the number in BB only.

    One of the people not in AA is chosen at random. Find the probability that this person is in BB. [4]

    Model answer

    Let BB only =y= y, so AA only =2y= 2y.

    2y+9+y+12=60  ⇒  3y=39  ⇒  y=132y + 9 + y + 12 = 60 \;\Rightarrow\; 3y = 39 \;\Rightarrow\; y = 13

    Not in AA: BB only ++ neither =13+12=25= 13 + 12 = 25

    1325\frac{13}{25}

    Why this scores

    Mark scheme:

    • M1 for 2y+9+y+12=602y + 9 + y + 12 = 60 oe
    • A1 for y=13y = 13
    • M1 for k13+12\frac{k}{13 + 12} or 13m\frac{13}{m} with m>13m > 13
    • A1 for 1325\frac{13}{25} oe

    Why this scores full marks: One letter for the smaller region keeps the equation simple, and the denominator is A′A', which is BB only together with the 1212 in neither.

  • Question 8

    Paper 1H/2H style — 4 marks4 marks

    250250 people visited a zoo. 42%42\% of the visitors were children. 60%60\% of the children visited the aquarium. 9595 of the adults visited the aquarium.

    Given that a visitor went to the aquarium, find the probability that the visitor was a child. [4]

    Model answer

    Children =0.42×250=105= 0.42 \times 250 = 105

    Children at the aquarium =0.6×105=63= 0.6 \times 105 = 63

    Aquarium visitors =63+95=158= 63 + 95 = 158

    63158\frac{63}{158}

    Why this scores

    Mark scheme:

    • M1 for 0.42×2500.42 \times 250 or 105105
    • M1 for 0.6×1050.6 \times 105 or 6363
    • M1 for 63+9563 + 95 or 158158
    • A1 for 63158\frac{63}{158} oe

    Why this scores full marks: The 60%60\% is applied to the children, not to all 250250 visitors, and the denominator is the whole aquarium group, children and adults together.

  • Question 9

    Paper 1H/2H style — 5 marks5 marks

    The Venn diagram for events AA and BB has these probabilities:

    P(A∩B′)=3xP(A \cap B') = 3x, P(A∩B)=xP(A \cap B) = x, P(A′∩B)=0.28P(A' \cap B) = 0.28, P((A∪B)′)=2xP((A \cup B)') = 2x

    (a) Find the value of xx. [2]

    (b) Find the probability that BB occurs given that AA occurs. [2]

    (c) Write down P(A′∩B′)P(A' \cap B'). [1]

    Model answer

    (a) 3x+x+0.28+2x=1  ⇒  6x=0.72  ⇒  x=0.123x + x + 0.28 + 2x = 1 \;\Rightarrow\; 6x = 0.72 \;\Rightarrow\; x = 0.12

    (b) P(A)=3(0.12)+0.12=0.48P(A) = 3(0.12) + 0.12 = 0.48

    0.120.48=14\frac{0.12}{0.48} = \frac{1}{4}

    (c) 2x=0.242x = 0.24

    Why this scores

    Mark scheme:

    • M1 (a) for 3x+x+0.28+2x=13x + x + 0.28 + 2x = 1 oe
    • A1 (a) for 0.120.12
    • M1 (b) for x4x\frac{x}{4x} or 0.120.48\frac{0.12}{0.48} ft their xx
    • A1 (b) for 14\frac{1}{4} oe
    • B1 (c) for 0.240.24 ft 2×2 \times their xx

    Why this scores full marks: The four probabilities sum to 11, giving the equation. In (b) the denominator is P(A)=0.48P(A) = 0.48, the whole of circle AA, not 11.

  • Question 10

    Paper 1H/2H style — 5 marks5 marks

    A cinema sold 360360 tickets for three films: Action, Comedy and Drama. Each ticket was an adult ticket or a child ticket.

    512\frac{5}{12} of the tickets were for Action, and 13\frac{1}{3} of the Action tickets were child tickets.

    9090 tickets were for Comedy, and 5454 of these were child tickets.

    146146 of the tickets were child tickets.

    (a) One of the child tickets is chosen at random. Find the probability that it was for Drama. [3]

    (b) Given that a ticket was for Drama, find the probability that it was an adult ticket. [2]

    Model answer

    (a) Action =512×360=150= \frac{5}{12} \times 360 = 150, Action child =13×150=50= \frac{1}{3} \times 150 = 50

    Drama child =146−50−54=42= 146 - 50 - 54 = 42

    42146=2173\frac{42}{146} = \frac{21}{73}

    (b) Drama =360−150−90=120= 360 - 150 - 90 = 120, Drama adult =120−42=78= 120 - 42 = 78

    78120=1320\frac{78}{120} = \frac{13}{20}

    Why this scores

    Mark scheme:

    • M1 (a) for 150150 and 5050
    • M1 (a) for 146−50−54146 - 50 - 54 or 4242
    • A1 (a) for 42146\frac{42}{146} oe
    • M1 (b) for 360−150−90360 - 150 - 90 and 120−42120 - 42, or 78k\frac{78}{k}
    • A1 (b) for 78120\frac{78}{120} oe

    Why this scores full marks: The candidate keeps the two denominators apart: the child tickets (146146) in (a) and the Drama tickets (120120) in (b). Setting out a two-way table (films across, adult/child down) makes both totals visible.

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